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Bears aren't head and shoulders above the league but I like their chances

If you're going to pick the Bears to win the Super Bowl, which I am, shouldn't you be certain that they'll beat the lowly Colts, which I'm not?

Maybe it's indicative of a refreshingly high level of parity in the NFL that I expect my pick to win it all will have trouble with a team coming off a 2-14 season. Or maybe Andrew Luck is just that promising. Or maybe I'm crazy for picking the Bears, though authorities ranging from legendary coach Bill Parcells to the video game Madden NFL 13 also have them in the Super Bowl.

It's not that I think the Bears are head and shoulders above the rest of the league. I don''t. Heck, in my more thorough, division-by-division series of NFL previews on my blog, the Morris Mirror (which you can find at morrisdailyherald.com), I don't even have the Bears winning the NFC North. That distinction went to the Packers, though the Bears, obviously, are one of my wild card teams in the NFC.

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