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Shopping season off to strong start

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“We made it out of H&M and we didn’t get trampled,” Sweeney said.

It was good news for merchants who can rake in up to 40 percent of their annual sales during November and December and could give the economy a much-needed boost at the end of the year.

The National Retail Federation estimated that holiday sales will increase to $586.1 billion this year, up about 4.1 percent compared with the previous year. It will release its closely watched estimate of Black Friday sales Sunday.

According to a Gallup survey, consumers say they’ll spend an average of $770 on holiday gifts this year, roughly on par with what they estimated at this time last year.

“There’s a little more discretionary spending, and if the deal is right, shoppers will make the extra purchase that they didn’t make last year,” said Ken Perkins, an expert at Retail Metrics Inc. “Consumer confidence is at a five-year high, there has been improvement in people’s net worth, and we see just general improvement overall.”

In addition, consumers were benefiting from a drive by brick-and-mortar merchants to step up their deals.

Price-matching efforts and promotions were aimed at combating the success of rival online merchants, who enjoyed a 22.9 percent jump as of 6 p.m. ET on Black Friday over last year in sales. They’ll roll out even more Web bargains on so-called Cyber Monday, the first workday after the Thanksgiving weekend.

Analysts caution that a strong Black Friday does not always signal a great holiday season. Some predicted that after emptying their wallets over the weekend, many shoppers will hold on to their cash until the last few days before Christmas.

“People who shop today and can find what they want aren’t going to necessarily shop anymore,” said Alan Whitman, a managing director of Morgan Stanley in Pasadena, Calif. “The consumers may have just spent their money earlier.”

Retailers nervous about wooing customers threw open their doors hours earlier and unveiled bargains on Thanksgiving night, some as early as 8 p.m. The deals were plentiful: 40-inch Toshiba TVs for $180 at Best Buy (a nearly 60 percent savings); Xbox game consoles with video games for $149 at Wal-Mart; and discounted Barbie dolls at Toys R Us.

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