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Supreme Court to consider timing on gay marriage

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If the court votes to hear the California case, it will be decided by late June. If the appeal is turned down, it means gay marriage will become law in California, due to the 9th Circuit’s decision. The court may also put off a decision on the Proposition 8 case until the justices have decided on the constitutionality of the Defense of Marriage Act, also by June. The court is likely to announce whether it intends to hear the cases by Dec. 3.

Many legal experts, including gay-rights advocates, hope the justices will avoid a decision on the right to marry for now.

“The court is probably reluctant to impose same-sex marriage on the entire country right now. So, this is an excellent time for them to shut up and do nothing,” said Andrew Koppelman, a Northwestern law professor.

Two Los Angeles law professors — Scott Cummings at the University of California, Los Angeles and Douglas NeJaime at the Loyola Law School — said the strong shift of public opinion in favor of gay marriage argues for the Supreme Court to stand aside for now. “The tide is flowing only one way. So a wait-and-see approach seems prudent at this stage,” Cummings said.

But in the South, the perspective may differ.

“Tennessee and the other deeply red states are not going to (allow gay marriage) on their own, at least for another 25 years,” said Suzanna Sherry, a professor at Vanderbilt Law School. “People here sincerely believe it will harm their marriage and offend God if gays are allowed to marry.” She says the court has a duty to take up the issue. “If there is no rational basis for denying gays the right to marry, the court should step in and protect gays from the tyranny of the majority.”

The defenders of Proposition 8, by contrast, argue the Constitution “leaves the definition of marriage in the hands of the people, to be resolved by the democratic process in each state.” Lawyers for Indiana and 14 other states also urged the court to reverse the 9th Circuit’s decision, which they called “radical” and “insulting” to the voters of California who sought to restore the “state’s traditional definition of marriage.”

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